Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.943993 2.035138 2.131873 2.242852 2.367520 2.504312 2.667281
2025-11-09 1.834439 1.950257 2.077654 2.229901 2.409339 2.617448 2.882466
2025-11-16 1.758574 1.889753 2.037751 2.220009 2.442877 2.713192 3.077743
2025-11-23 1.696931 1.838567 2.001538 2.207108 2.466254 2.792933 3.257113
2025-11-30 1.658756 1.810902 1.989217 2.219362 2.518325 2.910395 3.499856
2025-12-07 1.593122 1.746476 1.928036 2.165406 2.479114 2.900267 3.556002
2025-12-14 1.553512 1.711211 1.900122 2.150871 2.489177 2.956615 3.717707
2025-12-21 1.514228 1.674374 1.868051 2.128350 2.485668 2.991745 3.849439
2025-12-28 1.499396 1.666726 1.871764 2.152170 2.546708 3.126187 4.170936
2026-01-04 1.491070 1.666483 1.884372 2.187887 2.626514 3.297633 4.600863
2026-01-11 1.466448 1.644546 1.867681 2.182190 2.644732 3.372289 4.862627
2026-01-18 1.447869 1.629525 1.859197 2.187031 2.678452 3.475755 5.215604
2026-01-25 1.413749 1.594271 1.823662 2.153418 2.653108 3.478571 5.350847
2026-02-01 1.390328 1.572077 1.804623 2.142184 2.661488 3.541634 5.656263
2026-02-08 1.369357 1.552371 1.788099 2.133544 2.672979 3.611330 6.009574
2026-02-15 1.348584 1.532286 1.770285 2.122008 2.678676 3.670453 6.362876
2026-02-22 1.337252 1.524176 1.768327 2.133431 2.722454 3.809352 7.055168
2026-03-01 1.305322 1.488037 1.726795 2.084068 2.661068 3.727891 6.931809
2026-03-08 1.287229 1.469906 1.709675 2.070799 2.660295 3.772405 7.316568
2026-03-15 1.267437 1.449072 1.688234 2.050145 2.645558 3.785759 7.591992
2026-03-22 1.262814 1.448357 1.694697 2.072095 2.706015 3.970512 8.818426
2026-03-29 1.261861 1.452466 1.707930 2.104933 2.788340 4.221918 10.947847
2026-04-05 1.248922 1.439997 1.697235 2.099723 2.800863 4.309307 12.283723